Machinery Federation predicts growth rate of machinery industry will be about 14% in 2012

Under the policy of “stabilizing growth, adjusting structure, and controlling price”, the China Machinery Federation predicts that the growth rate of the machinery industry will be around 14% for the whole year. In response, the explanation provided by the person in charge of the Federation is that the growth rate of the machinery industry has been faster than that of the entire industry over the years. As some of the equipment manufacturers with secondary machine tools, this year's production and sales will have different degrees of growth. In particular, it is worth noting that these industries will increasingly focus on improving their own processes and equipment levels in the course of restructuring, transformation, and promotion. This will include the ideal demand for high-end and mid-range CNC machine tools and special planes.

Second, under the premise of steady growth, investment in fixed assets will sustain fluctuations. Experts estimate that the growth rate of the theory of fixed asset investment in the society in 2012 is approximately the same as that of the previous year (in 2011, the fixed asset investment theoretically increased by 16.1% year-on-year after deducting price factors).

In particular, some serious projects identified in the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” will enter a centralized establishment stage this year. The introduction and implementation of strategic emerging industries such as high-end equipment manufacturing and new-powered vehicles will drive investment in machine tool equipment to some extent. growth of.

Of course, there are also some factors that are not conducive to the growth of China's machine tool output value:

For example, from the second half of 2011, more new orders for machine tools were added. By mid-year, the situation is: “From the report of the association's key liaison companies, over the past few years, heavy-duty machine tool companies have been holding orders over their one-year production capacity. Hand-held orders often span production capacity for half a year. Today's situation is completely different. Better companies only have orders for half a year."

There will also be a slight drop in the growth rate of China's economy and industry in 2012, which will result in a decline in the production and sales of some of the machine tools and the profit growth of the machine tool industry in 2012 in the context of a decline in 2011. The decline in corporate profits and growth in production and sales will affect the reasonable growth of investment in machine tool equipment.

In addition, the export situation this year is rather grim. Although China's machine tool exports account for a small part of the output value, it will also have a slight impact on the growth rate of the machine tool output value.

Based on the above factors, experts predict that the sales value of China's machine tools will continue to increase in 2012, but the growth rate will certainly fall back, and the biggest one can be the medium-speed growth range, which has dropped back to about 15%. The market demand structure will further accelerate the promotion. The increase in the output of CNC machine tools will be clearly higher than the increase in the total output of machine tools. High- and mid-range CNC machine tools and special machines will continue to sell well. The output value of high-grade machine tools, especially ordinary machine tools, may show negative growth, while heavy and large The market demand for machine tools will remain relatively low.