· New production capacity of 2.62 million units spread from sales to production lines

On January 28th, with the new strategic model of the Buick mid-size car market, the new Yinglang slowly exited, the first phase of Shanghai General Motors Wuhan Branch was officially completed and put into operation, which will bring new 240,000 vehicles per year. Increase production capacity. According to the information disclosed by the reporter's comprehensive car companies, at least this year, at least 10 car companies including Shanghai Volkswagen, FAW Volkswagen, Haima, Ford will complete a new factory in China, with an additional capacity of 2.62 million. Among them, the joint venture brand accounted for 70%, and the independent brand was 30%. So far, China's total automobile production capacity will reach 36 million this year.
In 2015, the annual production capacity of 2.62 million vehicles will reach 36 million. The ever-increasing sales volume will require production capacity to support it. Last year, Shanghai GM sold a total of 1.76 million vehicles in the whole year, once again refreshing the company's annual sales record, the original production capacity will be increasingly tight. It is understood that its Shanghai Wuhan Branch in Jiangxia District of Wuhan began construction in 2012. The total investment of the first phase of the project is 7 billion yuan, which can increase the production capacity of 240,000 vehicles for Shanghai GM. The first phase has just been completed, and the second phase of the project has also started, with a total investment of 7.5 billion yuan. It is expected to be put into use in 2017. By then, the Wuhan branch's vehicle production capacity will reach 480,000 units.
Shanghai Volkswagen will also expand this year. Its new plant in Changsha has a total investment of 12.08 billion yuan and a production capacity of 300,000 units in the first phase, including stamping workshops, body workshops, paint workshops and assembly workshops. If the market demand is strong, Shanghai Volkswagen will also start the second phase of the project in 2017, with a total capacity of 600,000 units.
At the same time, outside the FAW-Volkswagen Changchun plant, it has established factories in Foshan, Guangdong and Chengdu, Sichuan. According to the plan, Volkswagen's production capacity in China will reach 4 million in 2018.
Beijing Hyundai is currently preparing to build a fourth plant. There are also 300,000 new production capacity of Haima Motor's Zhengzhou plant this year, 250,000 Ford's Hangzhou plant, 240,000 for Guangqi Honda Zengcheng plant, 220,000 for Guangzhou Automobile's third plant in Nansha, Guangzhou, and 160,000 for Cadillac's Shanghai plant. It is said that there are 150,000 vehicles in Guangzhou and 100,000 vehicles in Huachen Automobile. According to incomplete statistics, the domestic automobile production capacity will increase by 2.62 million this year.
According to the capacity data released by integrated vehicle enterprises, this year, SAIC, FAW, Dongfeng, Changan, Beiqi, Guangzhou Automobile, Chery, BYD, Brilliance, Geely and other car companies initially planned production capacity of about 33 million. This figure, combined with the capacity of the general passenger car, will reach 36 million domestic car production this year.
Competition has extended to the production line. Car companies have built first-class manufacturing bases. In addition to increasing production capacity, the reporter found that the use of industry-leading technology to improve manufacturing levels has become a need for major car companies to cope with fierce competition in the market.
For example, the Dongfeng Nissan Dalian factory, which was put into production soon, has an automation rate of 83% in the welding shop. In the assembly shop, it has fully realized the transportation, grabbing and placement automation of tires, seats and other accessories, and introduced skateboards for the first time in China. AGV effectively reduces secondary logistics in the plant. At the same time, in terms of painting technology, the Dalian factory introduced a fully robotic automatic spraying system, which greatly improved production efficiency.
As the newest member of Shanghai GM's national manufacturing system, Wuhan's new factory is equipped with the world's advanced level of process equipment and international high-standard environmental protection facilities. There are only 452 robots in the body shop, and the automation rate is as high as 97%. There are also a multi-piece process with double the production efficiency, plasma brazing, R-1000iA series lightweight robots, 3-wet spraying process, assembly chassis with a precision of 0.1 mm, etc. These advanced equipment and processes, The new Wuhan plant has become another international first-class and domestic leading green environmental protection factory under Shanghai GM.
Chery Jaguar Land Rover's Changshu plant uses flexible manufacturing capabilities. The automation rate of 306 robotic welding shops exceeds 85%. The painting workshop uses dry painting systems, and the air recycling rate is as high as 95%...
Rush, has been extended from the car market to the production line.
Some stocks are high, and some are still queued. Most of the automakers' production capacity is still in the controllable range. On the one hand, auto companies are investing in new production projects. On the other hand, some brands have high inventory of new cars in 4S stores, but at the same time, it is undeniable that the auto market There are still a lot of new cars that need to wait in line for the car, which is in short supply. This at least shows that the overall overcapacity of the car has not yet arrived. This may be the reason why many car companies spend a lot of money to build an advanced manufacturing base: with a strong production base, it is possible to win at the starting line.
In the past 2014, China’s car sales were 23.49 million units, which continued to rank first in the world. In terms of the average domestic car sales growth rate forecast of 10% in 2015, the car sales in 2015 are expected to reach 25.84 million. In other words, the expected difference between domestic automakers' production capacity and sales volume this year is 10.16 million units. However, industry insiders still do not agree with the excess. The relevant experts of the China Automobile Association said that the current inventory of automobile enterprises is definitely high, which should attract the attention and vigilance of the industry. However, at present, China's auto industry capacity planning is very complicated, and some enterprises have high inventory, but some joint venture car enterprises have serious shortages of production capacity, which is the result of market competition.
To determine whether there is excess capacity, you can look at capacity utilization. According to industry insiders, at present, China's auto industry is still in a controllable range as a whole. The actual capacity utilization rate of most car companies, especially joint venture car companies, is above 80%, which is a relatively healthy range. But he also said that because car companies are not willing to lose at the starting line, capacity competition will easily fall into blindness. Once the car capacity utilization rate is less than 70%, it will inevitably lead to losses. According to the current plan, by 2018, China's automobile production capacity will reach more than 40 million, and if the sales volume cannot reach 28 million, the capacity utilization rate will be less than 70%.
Therefore, calmly analyzing the direction of the automobile market and rationally planning production capacity and sales expectations are not easy for car companies, but they are an orderly way for healthy development.
This year, China's auto sales may be only 25 million, but the production capacity will reach 36 million. Is there any surplus? The car companies should calmly analyze the direction of the car market and rationally plan production capacity and sales expectations.

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